Commentary

The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming

The latest rate hike announcement by the Fed sent stocks tumbling to the year’s lows. While last week’s market action was brutal, the good news is the markets are set up for a rather significant short squeeze higher.

Commentary

Debt & Why The Fed Is Trapped

The massive debt levels provide the single most significant risk and challenge to the Federal Reserve. It is also why the Fed is desperate to return inflation to low levels, even if it means weaker economic growth.

Commentary

Buffett Indicator Says Markets Are Going To Crash?

Stocks are far from cheap. Based on Buffett’s preferred valuation model and historical data, return expectations for the next ten years are as likely to be negative as they were for the ten years following the late ’90s.

Commentary

Asset Bubbles & Forward Returns

Asset bubbles have been prevalent throughout history.

Commentary

Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?

Recently, the Biden Administration started taking victory laps on deficit reduction.

Commentary

Recession Signals Abound As Fed Hikes Rates

At the Jackson Hole Summit, Jerome Powell made it clear the Federal Reserve remains focused on combatting inflation despite recession signals rising in tandem.

Commentary

Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done

Last year, I wrote an article discussing that 2022 earnings estimates were too optimistic given the impending reversal of the economic “Sugar Rush” of massive liquidity injections.

Commentary

Small Business Sales And The Running Of The Bull

Small business sales are the lifeblood of the economy.

Commentary

The Rule Of 20 & Why The Bear Market Remains

The “Rule Of 20” says the “bear market” may just be resting despite much commentary to the contrary.

Commentary

Buy Stocks Now? When It’s Time, You Won’t Want To.

Buy stocks in a bear market.

Commentary

The Bear Market Is Over. Or, Is It Just Hibernating?

The bear market is over.

Commentary

Paul Volker And 1982. Why Now Isn’t Then.

Jerome Powell isn’t Paul Volker, and this isn’t 1982.

Commentary

Economic Slowdown Now, Recession Coming In 2023

Economic slowdown but no recession!

Commentary

Pulling Forward Growth No Longer An Option

Pulling forward growth over the last decade remains the Federal Reserve’s primary tool for keeping financial markets stable while economic growth rates and inflation remained weak.

Commentary

Jim Cramer Says Fed Pivot Means Buy Stocks?

Jim Cramer recently stated it will be time to buy stocks when the Fed pivots.